The volume of mortgages coming to an end this year is the direct result of borrowers who locked into five year fixes in 2021, when interest rates were at historic lows and the Bank of England’s base rate sat at 0.1%. With landlords increasingly opting for two year fixes, a greater proportion of the market is expected to reach maturity each year creating a more regular refinancing cycle.
Across the buy to let market, maturity activity is expected to remain significant throughout the second half of the year:
- 12% of the buy to let market is forecast to mature between July and December 2026 with the remortgage and product transfer market forecast to increase by 6% vs January to June 2026.
Percentages based on The Mortgage Works’ analysis of CACI’s Mortgage Market database, as at the end of May 2026.
This underlines the continuous level of refinancing activity intermediaries can expect throughout the rest of 2026.
The buy to let market at a glance
The buy to let sector remains a key part of the UK mortgage market:
- Gross buy to let lending was £33 billion in 2024, recovering after the previous year's slowdown.
- This increased to £40 billion in 2025.
- Prior to global conflicts, forecasts suggest it could rise to £44 billion in 2026, driven improved affordability and rising rents.